Issue 3

Issue # 3

How did we do last time? The last game was Spain vs England for the Final of Euros 2024. Spain came to the final undefeated, scoring 13 goals along the way. England came in with a shaky start, picking up a couple of draws but ultimately finding for near the end.

Throughout the tournament, we gathered more and more data and predicted a 1-0 win to Spain to finish the competition. We expected Spain to be aggressive but still expected the final to make them play cautious. While our predicted score was conservative, Spain did ultimately win the final 2-1. So not bad.

Fresh Start and Moving Forward

Now that the Euros have ended, our attention turns to the Premier League. There is tons and tons of data for this competition, which makes our next AI ventures even more fun.

We’ll start off by predicting how the table will look at at the Christmas break. While its certainly not how these teams will end the season, it will show how many of these teams are expected to evolve throughout the season.

In the next few issues, you can expect to see our full end-of-season table prediction. Another exciting announcement that we’d like to make is that we’ll be hosting a free dashboard on at scoresnippet.com that you can take full advantage of if you play any sports games (FPL anyone?).

Our Predictions for the Christmas Break

Here are our AI generated predictions for the upcoming 2024 / 2025 table at the mid point of the season. Some technical details about the models we are using here, while XGBoost models tend to work best for score predictions for use, we used a SARIMA model. This is just because this type of data is more time and trend sensitive in nature.

Manchester City are likely to lead the table by Christmas due to their squad depth and tactical prowess under Pep Guardiola. Their ability to rotate players efficiently helps them manage the congested fixture schedule, especially with European commitments. Key signings and the consistent form of star players like Kevin De Bruyne and Erling Haaland provide a solid foundation for their dominance.

Arsenal, under Mikel Arteta, continue their upward trajectory with a youthful and dynamic squad. The maturation of players like Bukayo Saka and Martin Ødegaard, combined with strategic summer signings, bolster their title challenge. Their early season form is expected to be strong, leveraging their high-pressing style and attacking flair.

Chelsea, under new managerial leadership, face an initial period of adjustment but find their rhythm by Christmas. The influx of new signings and the tactical acumen of their manager allow them to compete strongly. Their young and talented squad, combined with experienced players, ensures they remain in the top five.

Leicester City, newly promoted, adapt well to the Premier League. Their experience and quality in the squad, including the likes of James Maddison and Jamie Vardy, help them secure a respectable position. Leicester’s tactical flexibility and ability to score crucial goals give them an edge over other promoted teams.

Everton’s financial struggles and inconsistency place them in a precarious position. Despite efforts from manager Sean Dyche and key players like Dominic Calvert-Lewin, they fail to find stability. Everton’s lack of squad depth and defensive weaknesses contribute to their low position.

All future and previous issues are available at scoresnippet.beehiiv.com. To read other great newsletters, check out The Sample!